1y ago  The Hub

@financehardo420 dislocated while swimming huh? Seems like your shoulder joints were naturally quite loose

What did they fix in surgery?

I dislocated mine pretty badly several years ago during climbing and it popped twice last year, and is now keeping me from wrestling etc. I never did an MR but figure some tendons are torn and im guessing not able to be reattached at this point.

Gonna get that MR and an evaluation soon. Last times the doc just figured i was fine because i can lift and do basics, but fuck that.

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1y ago  The Dark Winter

@MentORPHEUS

I assume you’re alluding to the relatively high interest rates imposed this year.

1) They’re higher than in a long time, which increases the cost of the debt. But they are also slated to trend downward already this year.

2) The rate hikes are in place to combat the similarly high inflation rate. It’s important to remember that a feature of inflation is that, while it results in higher prices, it also erodes the debt value in real dollar terms.

I.e the interest costs increase but the total value of the debt is reduced, resulting in a similar balance.

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1y ago  The Dark Winter

@coolsocks00 Good on you for citing a primary source such as a FRED chart. How persuasive toward your claims will this chart be with 2023 included though?

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1y ago  The Dark Winter

@coolsocks00

These are political talking points perpetuated by the media. Political.

I strongly disagree. What media outlets or politicians/parties are talking about these issues at all right now? They're focusing on trivial wedge issues while ignoring this elephant in the room.

I also disagree with your conclusion that the size of the national debt isn't a problem when it doubled from the 80 year average of ~65% to 132% in one fucking year. What you say about debt leverage only works when debt is sensibly managed. Since 2020 it's like America has gone into fuck-tomorrow mode like a gambling or drug addict,''

Tracking the necessary data isn't the problem It definitely is.

I'm not saying tracking the data isn't necessary; it obviously IS necessary for rational planning and control, and the ability to do so has scaled up well over the last century thanks to technology.

The problem is we don't have the will to keep sane, rational, personally responsible and accountable entities at the controls of the economy in either government or corporate arenas. Everything is getting corrupted into dismantling the engines of wealth production and "privatizing" public assets, and funneling the spoils to a small elite class, paypig masses bedamned.

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1y ago  The Dark Winter

@lurkerhasarisen

That “pay raise” is the direct result of inflating the currency.

What i wrote holds water when adjusted for inflation. The rest of your argument is based on the assumption that it doesnt.

1y ago  The Dark Winter

@lurkerhasarisen @mentorpheus

we’re living well above our means on borrowed money. That “works” for a while. You can live pretty well on borrowed money. People do it all the time. Most people have significant debt.

Look at it this way.

You have debt and are making monthly interest payments of $1000.

But simultaneously, you’re getting a $1100 monthly pay raise. Usually more.

You have the best track record in the world and you have the time and ability to get an additional part time job if you needed to.

You’ve also done this for many many years and have seen worse times and have more tools at your disposal than ever before.

You wouldnt be that worried.

fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYOIGDA188S

Federal Outlays: Interest as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
Graph and download economic data for Federal Outlays: Interest as Percent of Gross Domestic Product (FYOIGDA188S) from 1940 to 2022 about outlays, federal, percent, interest, GDP, and USA. |
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1y ago  The Dark Winter

@MentORPHEUS

Debt to GDP ratio hit 123% in 2022. Countries are walking away from the Petrodollar and not buying our treasury bonds. The US economy is a dead man walking at this point. We will never recover, the debt will never be repaid.

These are political talking points perpetuated by the media. Political.

The total quantity of debt is not important, the servicing cost is. The cost is consistently lower than GDP growth. If you understand investment leveraging, you also understand how debt can be useful.

So there’s no need to pay off the debt, and there’s certainly no political will to do so, on either side. You think people want to pay higher taxes to remove a problem that’s not an actual problem? Hell no. And talk about economic mismanagement if you were to do so.

Tracking the necessary data isn't the problem

It definitely is. How else would distributors in a planned economy know which resources are needed where? They cant. What price mechanism would actually work? None.

problem, it's keeping crooked players out of the game.

Another problem for sure.

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1y ago  The Dark Winter

@coolsocks00

i wonder by what metrics you think the US economy is doing so poorly in the first place. It’s doing quite well by most standards, surprisingly so even.

Debt to GDP ratio hit 123% in 2022. Countries are walking away from the Petrodollar and not buying our treasury bonds. The US economy is a dead man walking at this point. We will never recover, the debt will never be repaid.

In a small scale community, a tribe or a family, all of these soc/com ideals fare better, because there’s less information to track.

Tracking the necessary data isn't the problem, it's keeping crooked players out of the game. That's the part I see as failing at the scale of countries right now. Phenomena like regulatory capture make extreme non-merocratic concentration of wealth and debt slavery of the masses inevitable.

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1y ago  The Dark Winter

@MentORPHEUS i just get eye twitching anytime these terms are brought up. Capitalism and socialism are both outdated, ill defined terms, and discussing them broadly is pointless because of the lack of specificity.

When someone states that they are ‘for’ one or the other, you generally know right away, they dont understand economics and/or are simply an ideologue on the topic.

I get what you’re trying to say though, but i wonder by what metrics you think the US economy is doing so poorly in the first place. It’s doing quite well by most standards, surprisingly so even.

On the idea of planned economies i agree, the tools of data tracking and handling required to make that work well at any large scale dont exist. In a small scale community, a tribe or a family, all of these soc/com ideals fare better, because there’s less information to track.

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1y ago  The Dark Winter

@coolsocks00

I believe it is (ironically) getting to the point where investing your energy to bringing about socialism

@adam-l That must be the dumbest thing you've ever written

I might have said the same in the past, but frankly, laissez-faire Capitalism (which I have always "believed in" and practiced) is not working out so well at this late stage.

Socialism and lfc might be more workable in small bands than it is at nation scale.

Don't take this as an enthusiastic or binary-choice endorsement of Socialism.

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